Practical applications of fuzzy set theory in flight safety management

Abstract

Risk management is a core of Safety Management System (SMS) of airline. It works in high level of uncertainty and is dealing with variety of information which is fuzzy in nature. So the fuzzy set theory (FST) is natural instrument that should be applied for solving problems that SMS faced with. The article provides a brief overview of examples of the use of FST elements in safety risk management, presents the results of processing expert surveys using fuzzy methods, and describes the developed practical method for assessing the index of probability of an aviation event based on the fuzzy inference technology.