The future potential of controlled environment agriculture

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Abstract

The production of high-quality food needs to increase to feed the growing global population. Controlled environment agriculture (CEA) systems in a vertical farm setting—in which several layers are stacked above each other, thus increasing the area for growth—can substantially boost productivity for crops, algae, mushrooms, fish, insects, and cultured meat. These systems are independent of climate, weather, and region, offering reduced environmental impact, although they come with high energy demands. An easy-to-understand, quantitative performance assessment of the theoretical potential for these 6 CEA systems is proposed here. It compares them against the world's main food production system: field production of maize, wheat, rice, and soybean. CEA could play a pivotal role in the global food supply if efficiencies in energy, control of growth environments, and waste stream utilization are vastly improved. Technological advancements, targeted policy support and public engagement strategies will be necessary to significantly reduce production costs and increase public acceptance.

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Calvo-Baltanás, V., Vilcinskas, A., Brück, T., Kloas, W., Wilke, T., Rufino, M., … Asseng, S. (2025). The future potential of controlled environment agriculture. PNAS Nexus, 4(4). https://doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgaf078

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