Efficiency of polder modernization for flood protection. Case study of golina polder (poland)

Abstract

This paper presents an analysis of the effectiveness of variants of the reconstruction of a polder, which is part of the flood protection system of a large urban agglomeration. The Golina polder, located in the floodplain of the Warta River, was selected as the case study. The multi-criteria decision support methods AHP and Fuzzy AHP were used to assess the effectiveness of individual variants. Information on the floods from 1997 and 2010, data on land cover, land development, nature and historical objects were used to estimate the value of the coefficients for the multi-criteria decision methods. It was shown that the planned deep modernization of the hydrotechnical infrastructure and the purchase of land in the polder area is less effective than maintaining the current state of development of the polder.