Clinical Picture and Risk Factors for Poor Outcome in Streptococcus pneumoniae Meningitis of Childhood on Three Continents

Abstract

Background: Streptococcus pneumoniae meningitis (SpM) remains a major health burden worldwide, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Identifying the patients at highest risk for mortality and disabling sequelae may reveal potentially avoidable predisposing factors and identify patients most in need of intensive care. We searched for factors that do not require laboratory facilities. Methods: This study was a secondary analysis of prospectively collected data from 5 clinical trials of childhood bacterial meningitis on 3 continents between 1984 and 2017. SpM cases were analyzed by study site and predictors for poor outcome (death or severe sequelae) were identified from the whole series, Latin America and Angola. Results: Among a total of 1575 children (age range: 2 months to 15 years), 505 cases were due to pneumococci. Compared to other etiologies, SpM doubled the death rate (33% vs. 17%) and tripled poor outcome (15% vs. 6%). In SpM, Glasgow Coma Score <13 [odds ratio (OR): 4.73] and previous antibiotics in Angola (OR: 1.70) were independent predictors for death. Predictors for poor outcome were age <1 year (OR: 2.41) and Glasgow Coma Score <13 (OR: 6.39) in the whole series, seizures in Latin America (OR: 3.98) and previous antibiotics in Angola (OR: 1.91). Angolan children had a 17-fold increased risk for poor outcome when compared with Finnish children (P = 0.011). Conclusions: Our study proved the severity of SpM when compared with other etiologies. The outcome was especially poor in Angola. Most patients at risk for poor outcome are easily identified by clinical factors on admission.