The impact of climate change on arabica suitability area and opportunities to reduce vulnerability

Abstract

Arabica is a global premium coffee commodity whose land suitability is vulnerable to climate change. The presence of exposure and sensitivity will have a potential impact such as a decrease in the quality and quantity of production. This study analyzes how the level of vulnerability of climate change to the development of land suitability of Arabica species and analyzes the potential of Arabica agroforestry by the community. The method used is quantitative with a quantitative approach that utilizes secondary data for spatial processing. Modeling results show that climate change leaves 6% of the area that has the suitability of Arabica species in Indonesia at this time. There is a 67% loss of land suitability nationally and has the potential to shift the new land suitability area by 28% in 2050. Many areas are at a moderate level of vulnerability that is lost, which is 87% of the total land suitability loss. The areas that have a very high value of climate change vulnerability is not necessarily a highly degraded land. The development of Arabica coffee agroforestry can contribute 29% to efforts to increase adaptation capacity to reduce climate change vulnerability from the perspective of land use diversification.