External Validation of the Toulouse-Rangueil Predictive Model to Estimate Donor Renal Function After Living Donor Nephrectomy

Abstract

A predictive model to estimate post-donation glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and risk of CKD at 1-year was developed from a Toulouse-Rangueil cohort in 2017 and showed an excellent correlation to the observed 1-year post-donation eGFR. We retrospectively analyzed all living donor kidney transplants performed at a single center from 1998 to 2020. Observed eGFR using CKD-EPI formula at 1-year post-donation was compared to the predicted eGFR using the formula eGFR (CKD-EPI, mL/min/1.73 m 2 ) = 31.71+ (0.521 × preoperative eGFR) − (0.314 × age). 333 donors were evaluated. A good correlation (Pearson r = 0.67; p < 0.001) and concordance (Bland-Altman plot with 95% limits of agreement −21.41–26.47 mL/min/1.73 m 2 ; p < 0.001) between predicted and observed 1-year post-donation eGFR were observed. The area under the ROC curve showed a good discriminative ability of the formula in predicting observed CKD at 1-year post-donation (AUC = 0.83; 95% CI: 0.78–0.88; p < 0.001) with optimal cutoff corresponding to a predicted eGFR of 65.25 mL/min/1.73 m 2 in which the sensibility and specificity to predict CKD were respectively 77% and 75%. The model was successfully validated in our cohort, a different European population. It represents a simple and accurate tool to assist in evaluating potential donors.