AI-Driven Outage Management with Exploratory Data Analysis, Predictive Modeling, and LLM-Based Interface Integration

Abstract

Power outages pose considerable risks to the reliability of electric grids, affecting both consumers and utilities through service disruptions and potential economic losses. This study analyzes a historical outage dataset from a Regional Transmission Organization (RTO) to reveal key patterns and trends that suggest outage management strategies. By integrating exploratory data analysis, predictive modeling, and a Large Language Model (LLM)-based interface integration, as well as data visualization techniques, we identify and present critical drivers of outage duration and frequency. A random forest regressor trained on features including planned duration, facility name, outage owner, priority, season, and equipment type proved highly effective for predicting outage duration with high accuracy. This predictive framework underscores the practical value of incorporating planning information and seasonal context in anticipating outage timelines. The findings of this study not only deepen the understanding of temporal and spatial outage dynamics but also provide valuable insights for utility companies and researchers. Utility companies can use these results to better predict outage durations, allocate resources more effectively, and improve service restoration time. Researchers can leverage this analysis to enhance future models and methodologies for studying outage patterns, ensuring that artificial intelligence (AI)-driven methods can contribute to improving management strategies. The broader impact of this study is to ensure that the insights gained can be applied to strengthen the reliability and resilience of power grids or energy systems in general.